《Boon or Burden? Evaluating the Competing Effects of House-Price Shocks on Regional Entrepreneurship》

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作者
Nicholas Kacher Luke Petach
来源
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT QUARTERLY,Vol.35,Issue.4
语言
英文
关键字
作者单位
1Scripps College, Claremont, CA, USA;2Jack C. Massey College of Business at Belmont University, Nashville, TN, USA
摘要
This paper examines the impact of changes in housing affordability on regional entrepreneurship. Two-way fixed-effects estimates suggest an increase in the level of house prices in a commuting zone results in a decline in establishment openings as a share of existing establishments—consistent with a crowding-out effect. In contrast, an increase in the growth rate of house prices results in a small (although not always statistically significant) increase in establishment openings—consistent with a positive wealth effect from capital gains. To address endogeneity concerns, the authors adopt two alternative instruments for commuting zone house-price growth: a measure of local real estate lending and a geography-based measure of the elasticity of local housing supply. They extend the analysis using restricted-use establishment-level microdata from the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) for the state of Colorado. Results from the QCEW data are consistent with those from the commuting zone sample.