《Economic Voting and Multilevel Governance: The Case of Toronto》

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作者
来源
URBAN AFFAIRS REVIEW,Vol.53,Issue1,P.71-101
语言
英文
关键字
economic voting; municipal elections; Toronto; POLITICAL CONTEXT; MUNICIPAL ELECTIONS; LOCATION DECISIONS; ELECTORAL SUCCESS; LATIN-AMERICA; UNITED-STATES; CANADA; TAXES; VOTE; ACCOUNTABILITY
作者单位
[Anderson, Cameron D.; Stephenson, Laura B.] Univ Western Ontario, Dept Polit Sci, Grad Program, London, ON, Canada. [McGregor, R. Michael] Bishops Univ, Dept Polit & Int Studies, Lennoxville, PQ J1M 1Z7, Canada. [Moore, Aaron A.] Univ Winnipeg, Dept Polit Sci, Winnipeg, MB, Canada. Anderson, CD (reprint author), Univ Western Ontario, Dept Polit Sci, Social Sci Ctr, Room 4154, London, ON N6A 5C2, Canada. E-Mail: cander54@uwo.ca
摘要
Past work has shown that economic conditions influence electoral outcomes at multiple levels of government in Canada and in democratic states around the world. However, there is significant variation in the jurisdictional ability of different governments to influence economic conditions; in particular, municipal governments may be least able to influence the economy. As a result, voters may be less likely to hold municipal incumbents accountable for economic conditions than either provincial or federal politicians. Building on this discussion, this article explores several questions. First, do citizens differentiate between the impacts of different orders of government on economic conditions? Second, does the economy affect incumbent support in local elections? Finally, does knowledge of the jurisdictional responsibilities of the three levels of government condition economic effects at the municipal level in Canada? We consider these questions using individual-level data collected during the 2014 Toronto municipal election.