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作者

来源

URBAN STUDIES,Vol.54,Issue11,P.2613-2630

语言

英文

关键字

convergence analysis; crime distribution; distribution dynamics; non-parametric statistics; property crime; ECONOMIC-GROWTH; CROSS-SECTION; PANEL-DATA; US CRIME; CONVERGENCE; UNEMPLOYMENT; EXPLAIN; POLICE; TRENDS; IMPACT

作者单位

[Moro, Alessandro] Ca Foscari Univ, Venice, Italy. Moro, A (reprint author), Ca Foscari Univ, Dept Econ, Cannaregio 873, I-30121 Venice, Italy. E-Mail: alessandro.moro@unive.it

摘要

Using crime data for the 48 continental and conterminous US states and the distribution dynamics approach, this paper detects two distinct phases in the evolution of the property crime distribution: a period of strong convergence (1971-1980) is followed by a tendency towards divergence and bimodality (1981-2010). Moreover, the analysis reveals that differences in income per capita and police can explain the emergence of a bimodal shape in the distribution of property crime: in fact, after conditioning on these variables, the bimodality completely disappears. This empirical evidence is consistent with the predictions of a two-region model, that stresses the importance of income inequality in determining the dynamics of the property crime distribution.