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作者

来源

INTERNATIONAL REGIONAL SCIENCE REVIEW,Vol.41,Issue2SI,P.134-151

语言

英文

关键字

regional science; population decline; spatial inequality; POPULATION DECLINE; INEQUALITY; GROWTH; EUROPE; CONSEQUENCES; DEPOPULATION; CONVERGENCE; TRANSITION; SHRINKAGE; PATTERNS

作者单位

[Franklin, Rachel S.] Brown Univ, Spatial Struct Social Sci Populat Studies & Train, 108 George St,Box 1916,Maxcy Hall, Providence, RI 02912 USA. [van Leeuwen, Eveline S.] Wageningen Univ, Urban Econ, Wageningen, Netherlands. Franklin, RS (reprint author), Brown Univ, Spatial Struct Social Sci Populat Studies & Train, 108 George St,Box 1916,Maxcy Hall, Providence, RI 02912 USA. E-Mail: rachel_franklin@brown.edu

摘要

In his presidential address to the Regional Science Association over thirty years ago, William Alonso presented the case for Five Bell Shapes in Development and argued that the developed countries will enter fully in to the realm of the right-hand tail of these curves (p. 16) and that this transition might result in several surprises. He proposed, therefore, that we should study the right tail of these curves as well as interactions among them. Much of what Alonso suggested has come to pass, although his prognostications were not always exact. And although he touched on several issues of relevance to regional scientists, the discipline has been slow to move away from a growth-centered paradigm. The strength of regional sciencethe capacity to consider economic, demographic, and geographical aspects of an issue simultaneouslyhas yet to be focused on some of the right-hand challenges that have arisen, population loss, for example. In this article, we provide a review of regional science research within the context of Alonso's five bells and hypothesize how Alonso's propositions might differ in today's world. We then focus more specifically on one particular area: population loss. Using these examples allows us to highlight how regional science might contribute to the conceptualization of right-hand tail development challenges, especially where theory, issues of spatial scale, and interregional dependencies are concerned.