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作者

来源

REGIONAL SCIENCE AND URBAN ECONOMICS,Vol.71,P.91-109

语言

英文

关键字

China; Infrastructure investments; Highways; Migration; Economic geography; ECONOMIC-GEOGRAPHY; LABOR MOBILITY; TASTE HETEROGENEITY; INCREASING RETURNS; MIGRATION; INTEGRATION; SYSTEM; TRADE

作者单位

[Bosker, Maarten] Erasmus Univ, Dept Econ, Rotterdam, Netherlands. [Bosker, Maarten] CEPR, London, England. [Deichmann, Uwe] World Bank, Dev Res Grp, 1818 H St NW, Washington, DC 20433 USA. [Roberts, Mark] World Bank, Social Urban Rural & Resilience Global Practice, 1818 H St NW, Washington, DC 20433 USA. Bosker, M (reprint author), Erasmus Univ, Dept Econ, Rotterdam, Netherlands. E-Mail: bosker@ese.eur.nl; udeichmann@worldbank.org; mroberts1@worldbank.org

摘要

This paper examines the spatial economic impact of China's two main spatial development policies: restricted labor mobility through the Hukou residential registration system, and the construction of a 96,000 km national expressway network (NEN). Using a structural new economic geography approach, we find that these policies have shaped regional economic development and urbanization patterns across China in very different ways. The construction of the NEN has reinforced China's existing core-periphery patterns: initially lagging regions not connected to the NEN have not benefitted much from its construction. By contrast, a removal of the Hukou restrictions is predicted to result in much more widespread welfare gains, allowing all people to benefit by moving to where they are most productive. Interestingly, it would even promote urbanization in currently lagging (inland) regions, mostly by stimulating rural outmigration.