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作者

来源

REGIONAL SCIENCE AND URBAN ECONOMICS,Vol.68,P.98-114

语言

英文

关键字

Chinese housing markets; Price spillovers; Systemically important cities; Government policies; IMPULSE-RESPONSE ANALYSIS; VOLATILITY SPILLOVERS; MULTIVARIATE MODELS; TEMPORAL DIFFUSION; MONETARY-POLICY; MARKET; INVESTMENT; CAUSALITY; LINKAGES; DYNAMICS

作者单位

[Yang, Jian] Univ Colorado, Business Sch, Ctr China Financial Res, Denver, CO 80202 USA. [Yu, Ziliang] Nankai Univ, Sch Finance, Tongyan Rd 38, Tianjin 300350, Peoples R China. [Deng, Yongheng] Natl Univ Singapore, Inst Real Estate Studies, Singapore, Singapore. Yu, ZL (reprint author), Nankai Univ, Sch Finance, Tongyan Rd 38, Tianjin 300350, Peoples R China.; Yang, J (reprint author), Univ Colorado, Business Sch, POB 173364, Denver, CO 80217 USA. E-Mail: jian.yang@ucdenver.edu; ziliang.yu@nankai.edu.cn; ydeng@nus.edu.sg

摘要

Applying a proposed spillover index of high-dimensional generalized VAR framework, this paper, for the first time, explores housing price spillovers among 69 large- and medium-sized Chinese cities from July 2005 to June 2015. We find that city-level monthly housing prices in China are highly interactive with each other. Demonstrating the important role of government policy, data-determined systemically important cities in the price spillover network appear to be consistent with core cities supported by several regional development plans of the Chinese government and agglomerate in five relatively concentrated areas. A higher administrative status, population, city GDP and secondary education are significant determinants of the (net) positive spillover pattern. These findings shed new lights on understanding the housing market, regional development policies, and economic geography in China.